Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.059762 0.067674 0.075755 0.084599 0.093974 0.103588 0.114168
2025-09-14 0.047899 0.059593 0.072106 0.086356 0.102007 0.118563 0.137292
2025-09-21 0.041340 0.055568 0.071361 0.089886 0.110748 0.133277 0.159222
2025-09-28 0.035232 0.051019 0.069151 0.090984 0.116096 0.143677 0.175893
2025-10-05 0.033768 0.051547 0.072452 0.098064 0.127921 0.161062 0.200107
2025-10-12 0.028602 0.046971 0.069267 0.097202 0.130325 0.167571 0.211912
2025-10-19 0.025450 0.044571 0.068418 0.098851 0.135427 0.176972 0.226825
2025-10-26 0.022206 0.041703 0.066726 0.099261 0.138888 0.184341 0.239299
2025-11-02 0.019863 0.039807 0.066078 0.100794 0.143560 0.193014 0.253186
2025-11-09 0.017282 0.037305 0.064448 0.100948 0.146447 0.199504 0.264471
2025-11-16 0.013995 0.033386 0.060677 0.098176 0.145596 0.201446 0.270344
2025-11-23 0.011274 0.029982 0.057357 0.095787 0.145057 0.203631 0.276390
2025-11-30 0.009738 0.028406 0.056603 0.096854 0.149000 0.211429 0.289373
2025-12-07 0.008570 0.027322 0.056493 0.098758 0.154016 0.220570 0.304026
2025-12-14 0.008003 0.027243 0.057809 0.102554 0.161420 0.232607 0.322132
2025-12-21 0.006881 0.025956 0.057241 0.103734 0.165449 0.240512 0.335302
2025-12-28 0.007299 0.027739 0.061339 0.111326 0.177720 0.258507 0.360553
2026-01-04 0.005873 0.025582 0.059308 0.110403 0.178986 0.262997 0.369617
2026-01-11 0.005139 0.024746 0.059252 0.112170 0.183694 0.271691 0.383710
2026-01-18 0.004257 0.023395 0.058292 0.112608 0.186632 0.278173 0.395121
2026-01-25 0.003670 0.022624 0.058208 0.114249 0.191117 0.286554 0.408814
2026-02-01 0.002943 0.021305 0.057135 0.114414 0.193617 0.292437 0.419460
2026-02-08 0.001959 0.018866 0.053990 0.111447 0.191859 0.292921 0.423467